Current Watch
Archive

 


E-business Watch
Tracking the online media to bring you the key e-business trends


June 14, 2000

Online Consumer Auctions: The Good, the Bad, and the Opportunities

Online consumer auctions have emerged as a mainstay of e-commerce. According to the Internet Auction List, there are approximately 2,300 online auction sites on the Internet. Forrester Research expects revenues to grow to $19 billion in 2003, up from $1.4 billion in 1998.  EBay alone has 12.6 million registered users, lists more than four million items for sale at any one time, and facilitated over $1.1 billion in sales for the first three months of 2000.

Cumbersome payment methods and fraud, however, are threatening this growth. Although consumers have been quick to embrace online auctions, payment systems have been slower to follow. Since people cannot pay with cash online, and most sellers are not able to accept credit cards, millions of dollars in cheques and money orders are sent by ‘snail mail’ each day.

Not surprisingly, the widespread use of cheques and money orders, combined with the rapidly increasing average value of goods posted for auction, has resulted in a dramatic increase in fraudulent activities. Indeed, auction fraud accounts for nearly nine in every 10 Internet-related complaints filed with the National Consumer League’s National Fraud Information Center. The average loss per consumer of $293 illustrates the difficulties of establishing trust in the anonymous online marketplace.

Auction fraud typically takes one of the following forms:

  •   Shilling – the practice in which sellers bid on their own offerings to drive up prices. In April, a painting that initially listed for 25 cents shot up to $135,805 before eBay voided the sale and suspended the seller over allegations he had bid on his own item. A subsequent investigation by the New York Times revealed that the price had actually been pushed up by a sophisticated group of shill-bidders working in collaboration with the painting’s seller

  • Failure to deliver – this happens when buyers do not receive the items they paid for, or when the items they do receive are not what they were expecting. Last year the National Consumer League received more than 9,000 complaints – up 78% from the prior year – from auction winners who sent in cash and never received their goods or received fake or broken items.

  • Payment fraud – this occurs when sellers do not get paid for the items they have shipped, mainly because the cheque or money order they receive are invalid.

Opportunities

These problems are generating new solutions and business opportunities as companies find innovative ways to build trust in their marketplaces. EBay, for example, offers free insurance on purchases up to $200 (less a $25 deductible). Escrow.com and i-Escrow hold payment from the buyer in trust until the seller sends the merchandise.

Some of the most exciting developments, however, are in emerging person-to-person payment systems. These systems make it easier for individuals to accept credit card payments, effectively becoming a direct conduit between individuals and performing the credit card transactions on their behalf. Unlike digital cash, these systems are not designed to displace credit cards; in fact, they are built around credit cards.

PayPal, a free service of Internet bank X.com, is the fastest growing of the person-to-person payment firms. According to the Wall Street Journal, PayPal signs 9,000 new users daily (a compound growth rate of 3 percent to 5 percent per day), confirming PayPal as one of the fastest growing Internet models since Hotmail and Napster. The service works like this: you use an on-line form on PayPal’s site to enter a cash transfer to anyone with an email address. PayPal takes the money from your credit card and transfers it first into the your PayPal account, then into the recipient’s PayPal account. To receive the cash, the recipient must sign up with PayPal. This guarantees that PayPal’s use will spread through “viral marketing”, since few people will refuse receipt of a payment. PayPal makes money from the “float” – the interest that accrues on the cash in people’s accounts. PayPal is currently used by 31% of eBay’s auction sellers. 

BillPoint, a joint venture between eBay and Wells Fargo & Co., works in a similar way, and is being promoted by eBay as the preferred payment option on its site. Currently, the number of users of BillPoint trails those of PayPal. In a recent article, The Industry Standard counted 300,000 items on eBay for sale using the PayPal system, while only 3,780 items were using BillPoint’s service.

ProPay is the latest player to enter the game, and its system works like PayPal’s, with one subtle difference. PayPal is not a credit card processing company; they break each transaction into two, charging the buyer’s credit card, then paying the seller. Because the buyer does not technically make a transaction with the seller, the credit card companies do not offer their dispute resolution if the buyer is defrauded. ProPay, on the other hand, is a credit card processing company, so all transactions using its systems retain normal credit card protections -- federal law protects credit card users if they do not get what they were promised or if unauthorized charges are made on their accounts. ProPay, in effect, charges the user 3.5% of the transaction value, plus a flat fee of 35 cents per transaction for this insurance.

For online auctions to retain their position as a cornerstone of e-commerce, it is crucial that they are able to build trust among the buyers and sellers in their marketplaces.  Accomplishing this task will increasingly depend on the anti-fraud and payment tools that make it as easy to receive and pay for goods, as it is to bid on them.

 

Related stories

In online auctions, rings of bidders (New York Times)
PayPal sees torrid growth with money-sending system
(Wall Street Journal)
E-tailers turn to auction
(Forbes)
Betting the farm on a virtual store
(New York Times)
Start-up touts mobile cash transfer system
(ZDNet)
Beam me up some money, Scotty
(PCWorld)
ProPay enters person-to-person payment sector
(CNET)
Grandma now accepts credit card
(The Industry Standard)
FBI Probes eBay Art Auction for Fraud
(Reuters)

 


E-Business Watch is published solely for informational purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any stock, mutual fund or other security. E-Business Watch does not attempt or claim to be a complete description of the markets or developments referred to in the material. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice. The information is obtained from sources which 4SP considers reliable, but has not independently verified such information and does not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. The E-Business Watch is not intended as investment advice.