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E-business Watch
Tracking the online media to bring you the key e-business trends


December 21, 1999

Delivering the goods:  Online retail's challenge 

Amid the exuberance surrounding online retail looms the challenge of how to move the goods from the warehouse through the doorway.  While ordering products online requires just a few clicks of the mouse, getting the goods is a much greater challenge. 

Several recent surveys have highlighted online shoppers’ frustration with the unpredictability, questionable reliability and high cost of delivery. A recent survey by Ernst & Young found that shipping costs are the number-one concern of online shoppers, with 63% considering them to be too high.  

Jupiter Communications noted that most shoppers intend to limit their online purchases to less than 10 percent of their holiday budget.  According to Jupiter, consumers are reluctant to depend too heavily on online retailers’ ability to fill their orders and deliver the goods on time. “Consumers are risk averse to gambling with the success of their holiday shopping," one Jupiter analyst told the National Post. 

Return of the milkman?

In response to the delivery puzzle, a new crop of companies are rapidly developing alternative forms of delivery. Some analysts suggest that these new delivery options mark a return to an earlier era of home delivery. Mohanbir Sawhney argues in Business 2.0 that e-commerce is creating new demands for efficient home delivery and leading to the “reinvention of the milkman.  Among the examples of new delivery techniques: 

  • Online grocers Webvan and Peapod are spending large amounts of money to build entirely new delivery systems. Webvan, the most ambitious of these infrastructure builders, is planning to spend US$1 billion to build 26 highly automated warehouses across the United States.  They expect to pay for the investment by becoming the deliverer of choice for not only groceries but virtually all goods bought online.
  • While people usually place their order from home, there is no guarantee they will be there to receive it.  In hope that they can solve this problem, online grocer Streamline.com installs a free refrigerator and shelving unit in its customers’ garages, as well as a keypad entry system so that they can deliver when you are not home
  • Need a present in a hurry? SameDayMall.com, a recently launched company based in San Francisco and Los Angeles, uses its fleet of vans to provide same-day delivery of gift-wrapped presents. 
  • If same-day delivery isn’t fast enough, Kozmo.com will bring the convenience store to you. The service, which began in New York and will be launched in 30 cities by the end of 2000, uses its fleet of bicycle couriers to delivers products such as ice cream, videos and chips. Kozmo’s CEO claims that in the last 12 months his company has delivered 40,000 pints of Ben & Jerry’s ice cream in New York, making them New York City’s largest retailer of the popular ice cream. 
  • In an effort to gain an edge in the highly competitive bookselling market, barnesandnoble.com has quietly begun to test 24-hour delivery in the New York City area.  This experiment, if successful, could raise the delivery stakes among booksellers and force companies such as Amazon.com to develop a similar service. 

 The road to profitability for these innovators, however, will be difficult.  The Wall Street Journal cautions that there will likely only be a handful of winners in the area of home-based delivery.  They will be the companies that build the most efficient network, execute near-perfect quality service and ensure that delivery costs are kept under control.

 

Related links & sites

Kozmo.com (corporate site)
Webvan
(corporate site)
Shoppers fear e-merchants can’t deliver the goods
(National Post)
Ernst & Young Projects that Online Holiday Shoppers Will Triple In '99
(Press Release)
Kozmo.com – 7-Eleven for the Web
(MSNBC) 
Sorting shipping problems online
 (USA Today)
Barnesandnoble.com Takes E-commerce to the Streets
(Internetnews.com)
Barnesandnoble.com tests 24-hour delivery service
(Cnet news) 
It’s the Warehouse, Stupid
(ZDNet)
Digital Desert
(Business 2.0) 

Milkman returns with much more
(Wall Street Journal)
The Longest Mile
(Business 2.0) 
Delivering what you want NOW
(USA Today) 


E-Business Watch is published solely for informational purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any stock, mutual fund or other security. E-Business Watch does not attempt or claim to be a complete description of the markets or developments referred to in the material. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice. The information is obtained from sources which 4SP considers reliable, but has not independently verified such information and does not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. The E-Business Watch is not intended as investment advice.